Compassionate-Immortal

0xade91e4502d8e8456dd98b004c4f7e607f399ec3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Compassionate-Immortal: +$11 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$11
return +0.2%
Settled bets
3
$7.3K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
+$2
Sep 25 – Oct 13
+$9
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? $4.0K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? $1.3K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15? $2.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed