Green-Usher-Butter
Skill vs luck
Green-Usher-Butter on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$968. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Green-Usher-Butter: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xadc1df72951c02bc37da9d8d27d4f2f3c782c19b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Green-Usher-Butter: +$968 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$135
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$833
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Daria Kasatkina @ 94¢ | Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Elmer Moeller
@ 99¢
Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Vilius Gaubas |
Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Vilius Gaubas | $3.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Lautaro Midon @ 94¢ | Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Guido Justo @ 97¢ | Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios ↗ | $4.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?