Fuzzy-Astrolabe
0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876
Fuzzy-Astrolabe: +$4.7K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$4.7K
return +13.6%
Settled bets
3
$34K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$4.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$27
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 83¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $13K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $2.3K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $2.2K |
| Aug 25 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | $34K |
| Aug 19 | BUY Yes
@ 99.65¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Aug 19 | BUY Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | $2.5K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.