Cloudy-Disappointment

0xa6a20236d04d0a663053eb61d6adcc7c003e22fd

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Cloudy-Disappointment: −$1.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.5K
return −23.7%
Settled bets
6
$6.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 14 SELL Dplus KIA Challengers @ 42¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs $1.3K
Sep 13 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 65¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) $1.3K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $2.8K
Sep 13 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 65¢
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) $2.0K
Sep 13 BUY Gen.G @ 64¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 11 BUY KT Rolster Challengers @ 70¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs $1.5K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed