Fancy-Wife-Priesthood
Skill vs luck
Fancy-Wife-Priesthood on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$16K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Fancy-Wife-Priesthood: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa5d965e58374d164579ff0a4476b2b4066e788ad. Data CC BY 4.0.
Fancy-Wife-Priesthood: −$16K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$5.0K
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$11K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 26¢ | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $4.8K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 26¢ | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 15 | BUY No
@ 35¢
Will AZ win on 2026-10-15? |
Will AZ win on 2026-10-15? | $4.7K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 31¢
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? | $5.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?