Ill-Informed-Snowmobiling

0xa0b87536071f0ce34ff9d8cd69572f19c151e424

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ill-Informed-Snowmobiling: −$5.2K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 11%–60%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.2K
return −19.6%
Settled bets
10
$27K staked
Won
30.0%
95% range 11%–60%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 7
−$2.0K
Sep 7 – Sep 25
−$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 16 BUY Over @ 65¢
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 $3.1K
Sep 16 BUY Over @ 64¢
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 $2.7K
Sep 15 BUY Over @ 63¢
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5 $7.5K
Sep 14 BUY No @ 39¢
Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14?
Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14? $1.2K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 23¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12?
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? $1.2K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 21¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? $1.5K
Sep 11 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5
Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5 $2.5K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 45¢
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-11?
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-11? $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed