Conventional-Pupa-Cornmeal
0xa046820e3bcb8a8e1fe30eaef0ee50441048f92a
Conventional-Pupa-Cornmeal: +$1.2K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 91% (95% range 62%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.2K
return +6.2%
Settled bets
11
$20K staked
Won
90.9%
95% range 62%–98%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$2.2K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$947
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Quentin Halys
@ 89¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Hubert Hurkacz
@ 89¢
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz |
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz | $1.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 91¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $1.1K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Paula Badosa
@ 90¢
Sao Paulo Open: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula Badosa |
Sao Paulo Open: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula Badosa | $1.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Suzan Lamens
@ 88¢
Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Solana Sierra |
Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Solana Sierra | $2.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Mary Stoiana
@ 85¢
Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu |
Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Magdalena Frech
@ 88¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino | $2.5K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Sloane Stephens
@ 87¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.