Near-Platter
Skill vs luck
Near-Platter on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 42% (95% range 19%–68%) · profit +$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Near-Platter: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9ede1a0f698c29ee76f2d04dc1cfc902c249ccc5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Near-Platter: +$1.4K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 21
- −$2.5K
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- +$3.6K
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$334
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Team Yandex @ 90¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 7 | SELL LOUD
@ 99¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | SELL LOUD
@ 99¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY G2 @ 60¢ | Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Vitality @ 60¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team Falcons
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?