Gruesome-Bunch-Facility

0x9da9cf8768ca173dee08e72c2541a9c634f928fa

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Gruesome-Bunch-Facility: +$1.2K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.2K
return +6.3%
Settled bets
5
$18K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 15
+$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY Solary @ 76¢
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Solary - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Solary - Game 2 Winner $1.8K
Oct 14 BUY BNK FEARX @ 46¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner $2.5K
Oct 14 BUY KT Rolster @ 65¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner $3.6K
Oct 14 BUY KT Rolster @ 56¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner $1.9K
Oct 14 SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner $4.1K
Oct 14 BUY BNK FEARX @ 48¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner $1.7K
Oct 14 BUY BNK FEARX @ 49¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner $6.9K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed