Hurtful-Casement-Harvest

0x9c42dd4f90d3ee8c68a61f2f149aad23eb3bb792

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hurtful-Casement-Harvest: −$2.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −28.2%
Settled bets
6
$9.2K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$413
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$2.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY KT Rolster @ 72¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $1.7K
Oct 11 BUY KT Rolster @ 72¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $1.7K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 67¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5 $1.3K
Oct 7 BUY FlyQuest @ 41¢
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Under @ 61¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5 $1.4K
Oct 5 BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 39¢
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) $1.2K
Sep 19 BUY Karmine Corp @ 53¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) $1.8K
Sep 8 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 63¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $2.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed