Vibrant-Instructor-Inclusion
Skill vs luck
Vibrant-Instructor-Inclusion on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$3.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Vibrant-Instructor-Inclusion: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9befa1c5fa78eac2965dfacab5b38e1450966ca5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Vibrant-Instructor-Inclusion: −$3.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$3.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY Team Vitality @ 42¢ | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 14 | BUY
@ 63¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) AND Spread: Kennesaw State (-13.5) |
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) AND Spread: Kennesaw State (-13.5) | $3.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes
@ 9¢
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? |
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?