Grouchy-Alcohol
Skill vs luck
Grouchy-Alcohol on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Grouchy-Alcohol: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9bd317354b5efb916f6a854bbda9f1d6aa9841f8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Grouchy-Alcohol: +$1.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$2.0K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$686
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Ole Miss @ 45¢ | Ole Miss vs. Texas ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Flames
@ 44¢
Flames vs. Ducks |
Flames vs. Ducks | $1.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Ducks
@ 50¢
Panthers vs. Ducks |
Panthers vs. Ducks | $2.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?