Wise-Medicine
Skill vs luck
Wise-Medicine on Polymarket: 20 settled bets · won 45% (95% range 26%–66%) · profit +$4.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wise-Medicine: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9b841580c0c36e9e882d7e3f24ab33c46ab76e9b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wise-Medicine: +$4.1K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 45% (95% range 26%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 21
- −$2
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- +$2.6K
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- +$1.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Thunder @ 97¢ | Nuggets vs. Thunder ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 76¢
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5 |
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5 | $2.5K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5 |
Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5 | $1.8K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 85¢
Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5 |
Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Clippers @ 99.9¢ | Kings vs. Clippers ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 22 | SELL No
@ 66¢
Will CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? |
Will CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? | $1.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Will CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? |
Will CF Pachuca vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 91¢
Club Puebla vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5 |
Club Puebla vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5 | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?