Burdensome-Nick
Skill vs luck
Burdensome-Nick on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$2.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Burdensome-Nick: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x98c87ef64f12ba207f9008f057d6aee8aab2c326. Data CC BY 4.0.
Burdensome-Nick: +$2.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$2.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY LOS @ 66¢ | LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.8K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Invictus Gaming @ 64¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Solary
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 Winner | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?