Assured-Wink-Fortress
Skill vs luck
Assured-Wink-Fortress on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$702. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Assured-Wink-Fortress: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x97568d4bd9e6bf9daef449367c045c93f0aca7ab. Data CC BY 4.0.
Assured-Wink-Fortress: +$702 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$702
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY No @ 99.9¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | $3.6K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Miami (FL) @ 92¢ | Florida State vs. Miami (FL) ↗ | $8.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?