0x8fe0…e511
Skill vs luck
0x8fe0…e511 on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$121. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x8fe0…e511: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8fe02d3cd29fe62c22c51e592839f402d4f6e511. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x8fe0…e511: −$121 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$121
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY FURIA Esports @ 84¢ | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 16 | SELL LOUD @ 77¢ | Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs ↗ | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?