Flustered-Thrill-Tortellini
Skill vs luck
Flustered-Thrill-Tortellini on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$336. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flustered-Thrill-Tortellini: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8e324d63a62ad2366358f8a8fc8275c185d8fc0a. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flustered-Thrill-Tortellini: −$336 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$336
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 88¢ | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 26 | BUY
@ 14¢
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) AND Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) |
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) AND Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY
@ 14¢
Chiefs Team Total: O/U 19.5 AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Chiefs vs. Seahawks AND Bengals vs. Ravens AND Bengals Team Total: O/U 23.5 |
Chiefs Team Total: O/U 19.5 AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Chiefs vs. Seahawks AND Bengals vs. Ravens AND Bengals Team Total: O/U 23.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY
@ 41¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24? AND Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime? |
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24? AND Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime? | $1.7K |
| Oct 11 | BUY
@ 30¢
Spread: Falcons (-2.5) AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
Spread: Falcons (-2.5) AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $1.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?