Scented-Blowhole
Skill vs luck
Scented-Blowhole on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$11K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Scented-Blowhole: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x893004f8d3297c5f79b7ad1264daa3f78b2918db. Data CC BY 4.0.
Scented-Blowhole: +$11K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$7.8K
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$2.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 76¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $9.6K |
| Aug 29 | BUY T1 @ 46¢ | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs ↗ | $6.7K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?