Opulent-Change
Skill vs luck
Opulent-Change on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$39. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Opulent-Change: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x85c804daa4410c6c1c3f8f7a66662733c79a15d5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Opulent-Change: +$39 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$40
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL No @ 99.9¢ | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Over
@ 98¢
Greece vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Greece vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-30? |
Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-30? | $1.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?