Pretty-Download
Skill vs luck
Pretty-Download on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$4.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Pretty-Download: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x808a8f9d68357b1c59bc2cd636d11f7d163332c5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Pretty-Download: −$4.1K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.3K
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$2.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Bucks @ 61¢ | Bucks vs. Wizards ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 21 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Spurs
@ 52¢
Spurs vs. Suns |
Spurs vs. Suns | $1.4K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Dragos Nicolae Madaras
@ 56¢
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Radu David Turcanu |
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Radu David Turcanu | $1.3K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?