Flimsy-Hydrolysis
Skill vs luck
Flimsy-Hydrolysis on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$16. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flimsy-Hydrolysis: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7ed0a33693a19378318f160064e4f9c1c27a9c4f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flimsy-Hydrolysis: +$16 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- −$1
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$17
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 99¢
Switzerland vs. Israel: O/U 0.5 |
Switzerland vs. Israel: O/U 0.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? |
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?