Agreeable-Senior

0x7de04bd844e4ad318814e7f2b043e2bc40557429

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Agreeable-Senior: −$206 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$206
return −2.9%
Settled bets
4
$7.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 7
−$1.2K
Sep 25 – Oct 14
+$979
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 BUY Team WE @ 53¢
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 7 BUY Natus Vincere @ 88¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Team Falcons @ 82¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $3.4K
Aug 21 BUY Iron Wing @ 72¢
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner $1.2K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed