Harmless-Asterisk
0x7cb4588ea94a159285cf5e65216e4185959d00ea
Harmless-Asterisk: −$869 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$869
return −6.2%
Settled bets
5
$14K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- −$1.8K
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- +$899
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 69¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 4 | BUY FURIA
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Spirit
@ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | $2.0K |
| Aug 22 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 75¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $4.0K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 82¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $4.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.