Accomplished-Property
Skill vs luck
Accomplished-Property on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$59. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Accomplished-Property: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7b842c1f82f598a654865d7a223cf2b52209a13e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Accomplished-Property: +$59 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$43
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- +$16
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Trail Blazers @ 99.8¢ | Suns vs. Trail Blazers ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Kia Tigers
@ 99.3¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers |
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Stars
@ 96¢
Stars vs. Blues |
Stars vs. Blues | $1.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on September 17? |
Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on September 17? | $1.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?