Sardonic-Quest
Skill vs luck
Sardonic-Quest on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$5.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sardonic-Quest: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7a33a267c1ddc001538604784176deaf8635dd0f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sardonic-Quest: +$5.7K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$5.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 66¢ | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | $2.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | $2.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | $2.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?