Astonishing-Trading

0x779a9702c5043ab56bcb7dc90b4a1f27ad77b689

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Astonishing-Trading: +$8.8K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$8.8K
return +23.6%
Settled bets
10
$37K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 49%–94%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$8.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL Alex de Minaur @ 99.9¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $1.4K
Oct 4 BUY No @ 91¢
Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-04?
Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-04? $1.5K
Oct 4 BUY Diana Shnaider @ 74¢
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider $2.5K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 94¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $4.3K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?
Will England win on 2026-10-03? $2.7K
Oct 3 BUY Sonay Kartal @ 82¢
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang $1.8K
Oct 3 SELL Xinyu Wang @ 22¢
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang $1.7K
Oct 3 BUY Donna Vekic @ 83¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu $5.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed