Cold-Singer
Skill vs luck
Cold-Singer on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$64. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cold-Singer: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7448ff1fc0b3d1f05078cb1286d890850b6b7ab1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cold-Singer: +$64 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- +$64
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Lakers @ 99.7¢ | Warriors vs. Lakers ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ | Mavericks vs. Rockets ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | Hornets vs. Nets ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Hornets @ 95¢ | Hornets vs. Nets ↗ | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?