Ecstatic-Cruise
Skill vs luck
Ecstatic-Cruise on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit +$4.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Ecstatic-Cruise: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x73da1e371be9c623b3d80b86c42eacd92977b7ac. Data CC BY 4.0.
Ecstatic-Cruise: +$4.3K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- −$2
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$4.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner ↗ | $9.7K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Team WE @ 99.9¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Team WE @ 36¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 16 | SELL FURIA Esports @ 99.9¢ | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $8.6K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?