Chief-Ashram-Pill
Skill vs luck
Chief-Ashram-Pill on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$11K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Chief-Ashram-Pill: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7138a99d467dc98f94141f81f118a12bb950eb79. Data CC BY 4.0.
Chief-Ashram-Pill: +$11K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- +$11K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY 76ers @ 59¢ | Cavaliers vs. 76ers ↗ | $18K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Pacers @ 89¢ | Pacers vs. Pelicans ↗ | $17K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?