Minor-Statistic-Ethics
0x6fd27edd7235d653973464e0a88f1b9d21d4caec
Minor-Statistic-Ethics: +$11K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$11K
return +168.3%
Settled bets
6
$6.3K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | SELL Mirra Andreeva
@ 38¢
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff |
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff | $3.8K |
| Sep 9 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 5.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 5.5 | $2.5K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Over
@ 46¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 5.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 5.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 9 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 | $5.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 9 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $5.5K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Over
@ 68¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $3.8K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.