Wooden-Ferret-Dogwood

0x6de64d3ac2358383498c9e135df693f3bb12c060

Skill vs luck

Wooden-Ferret-Dogwood on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 22%–79%) · profit +$8.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Wooden-Ferret-Dogwood: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6de64d3ac2358383498c9e135df693f3bb12c060. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wooden-Ferret-Dogwood: +$8.0K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$8.0K
return +118.4%
Settled bets
8
$6.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 7 – Oct 24
+$8.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 23 BUY Movistar KOI @ 19¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ $1.4K
Oct 23 BUY @ 48¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?
 LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23? $1.3K
Oct 23 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-10-23?
 Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-10-23? $3.4K
Oct 22 SELL Galions @ 99.9¢
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
 LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs ↗ $2.6K
Oct 21 SELL Down @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET $4.9K
Oct 21 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Will Bali United win on 2026-10-21?
 Will Bali United win on 2026-10-21? $1.0K
Oct 21 BUY Kraken @ 54¢
Red Wings vs. Kraken
 Red Wings vs. Kraken $2.1K
Oct 20 BUY Yes @ 24¢
Will CA Unión win on 2026-10-19?
 Will CA Unión win on 2026-10-19? $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed