Sentimental-Commission-Hearsay
Skill vs luck
Sentimental-Commission-Hearsay on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit +$51. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sentimental-Commission-Hearsay: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6c95b187606387367dca054f0a248954412887cb. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sentimental-Commission-Hearsay: +$51 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$51
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 26 | SELL FUT Esports @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 26 | SELL TYLOO
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | SELL FURIA
@ 97¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $2.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY FURIA
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $1.8K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?