Earnest-Criticism

0x69ac90777fcc1667f50ceb6c22d9b49aacf8781f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Earnest-Criticism: +$701 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$701
return +47.7%
Settled bets
5
$1.5K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 15
+$701
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner $2.1K
Oct 14 SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner $2.4K
Oct 13 SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.7K
Oct 12 SELL KT Rolster @ 99.9¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner $1.2K
Oct 11 SELL @ 99.71¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.0K
Oct 9 BUY 100 Thieves @ 67¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.5K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed