Elegant-User

0x67878f172c4ec5df17258d214b806cff2e136044

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Elegant-User: +$2.0K on 39 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 23%–52%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +10.0%
Settled bets
39
$20K staked
Won
35.9%
95% range 23%–52%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
+$1.5K
Sep 3 – Sep 17
+$1.5K
Sep 17 – Oct 1
+$29
Oct 1 – Oct 16
−$951
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 15 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15? $1.8K
Oct 14 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? ↗ $2.9K
Oct 14 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Al Rayyan SC leading at halftime?
Al Rayyan SC leading at halftime? $1.0K
Oct 14 BUY No @ 98¢
Al Rayyan SC leading at halftime?
Al Rayyan SC leading at halftime? $2.0K
Oct 11 BUY Under @ 97¢
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. St. Truidense VV: O/U 8.5
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. St. Truidense VV: O/U 8.5 $1.1K
Oct 11 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Telstar 1963 vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 8.5
Telstar 1963 vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 8.5 $1.6K
Oct 10 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? $3.0K
Oct 10 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-10-10?
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-10-10? $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed