Present-Hyphenation
Skill vs luck
Present-Hyphenation on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$554. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Present-Hyphenation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x66821a9a587dd0bdc50a7d42761477a02286fc9f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Present-Hyphenation: +$554 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$222
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$332
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY South Florida @ 92¢ | Kent State vs. South Florida ↗ | $3.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Stephen F. Austin
@ 92¢
Incarnate Word vs. Stephen F. Austin |
Incarnate Word vs. Stephen F. Austin | $2.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?