Happy-Go-Lucky-Drinking
Skill vs luck
Happy-Go-Lucky-Drinking on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$14K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Happy-Go-Lucky-Drinking: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x64f206122f8ae1ee3d4ae8e67137fd72a3b799ae. Data CC BY 4.0.
Happy-Go-Lucky-Drinking: +$14K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- +$14K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY MVK Esports @ 46¢ | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Chiefs
@ 68¢
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) | $6.9K |
| Oct 16 | BUY FURIA Esports
@ 34¢
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | $3.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?