Flaky-Bronco
Skill vs luck
Flaky-Bronco on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$2.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flaky-Bronco: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x63bb29becde7d3b79df82e20532e167580e964bf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flaky-Bronco: +$2.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$2.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 71¢
Lillestrøm SK vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 |
Lillestrøm SK vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 22 | BUY No @ 87¢ | Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-22? ↗ | $11K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?