0x62e8…88a1

0x62e8b5d5c6060394b0a05200e0d67049511088a1

Skill vs luck

0x62e8…88a1 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$369. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “0x62e8…88a1: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x62e8b5d5c6060394b0a05200e0d67049511088a1. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x62e8…88a1: −$369 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$369
return −8.6%
Settled bets
3
$4.3K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 7 – Oct 24
−$369
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 23 BUY Raptors @ 65¢ Raptors vs. Wizards ↗ $1.5K
Oct 21 BUY Nets @ 53¢
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
Spread: Hornets (-1.5) $1.3K
Oct 12 BUY No @ 93¢
Tutu Atwell: Anytime Touchdown
Tutu Atwell: Anytime Touchdown $1.5K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed