Graceful-Printer
Skill vs luck
Graceful-Printer on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 78% (95% range 45%–94%) · profit −$1.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Graceful-Printer: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x613485afd459847c95d10b2eb29b9c2df105c8cc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Graceful-Printer: −$1.5K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 45%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.8K
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | SELL Sabres @ 99.9¢ | Sabres vs. Sharks ↗ | $1.3K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?