Upbeat-Angel
Skill vs luck
Upbeat-Angel on Polymarket: 11 settled bets · won 46% (95% range 21%–72%) · profit +$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Upbeat-Angel: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x60f1258f686904c2049c6b0aacaf82ef19d7aa80. Data CC BY 4.0.
Upbeat-Angel: +$2.3K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 21%–72%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$2
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$349
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$3.8K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Sharks
@ 71¢
Sharks vs. Bruins |
Sharks vs. Bruins | $4.2K |
| Oct 25 | SELL UCF @ 99.9¢ | BYU vs. UCF ↗ | $5.3K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $6.6K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Invictus Gaming @ 65¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Dplus KIA @ 99.9¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $4.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 28¢ | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY James Madison
@ 69¢
James Madison vs. Old Dominion |
James Madison vs. Old Dominion | $3.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?