Silver-Limb
Skill vs luck
Silver-Limb on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 10%–70%) · profit −$3.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Silver-Limb: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x60e30101f81028d16ac06b982728b085bfc457b5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Silver-Limb: −$3.9K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- +$833
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$4.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 86¢
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane |
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane | $3.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 77¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $2.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY 1win
@ 62¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $3.1K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Aurora @ 58¢ | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Sep 30 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | $3.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?