Unaware-Crinoline

0x59fc1605562e665985a2f590309cafe991be0102

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unaware-Crinoline: −$701 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$701
return −7.0%
Settled bets
5
$10K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
+$253
Sep 3 – Sep 17
−$1.0K
Oct 1 – Oct 15
+$51
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 BUY LGD Gaming @ 98¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $2.0K
Sep 7 SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 99.6¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 6 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 96¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 2 BUY T1 @ 93¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Aug 29 BUY BNK FEARX @ 98¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner $5.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed