Spotless-Banker-Combine
Skill vs luck
Spotless-Banker-Combine on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 43% (95% range 16%–75%) · profit −$4.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Spotless-Banker-Combine: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x583e7e4d308d3be218ecd4964083d0ac5e2da2a6. Data CC BY 4.0.
Spotless-Banker-Combine: −$4.9K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$1.6K
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- −$7.0K
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$1.5K
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 45¢ | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $2.7K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 |
Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY SC Heerenveen
@ 46¢
Spread: PSV (-1.5) |
Spread: PSV (-1.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Serbia
@ 56¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) |
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Olympiakós SFP
@ 54¢
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) |
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) | $2.7K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Olympiakós SFP
@ 54¢
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) |
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) | $2.7K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5 |
1. FC Nürnberg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5 | $1.6K |
| Aug 25 | SELL No @ 53¢ | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25? ↗ | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?