Fussy-Lemonade
Skill vs luck
Fussy-Lemonade on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–32%) · profit −$13. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Fussy-Lemonade: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x58093e1e1a9175af5d519436d06017e4e7629868. Data CC BY 4.0.
Fussy-Lemonade: −$13 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–32%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$5
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$3
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Astra Invicta @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 12 | SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Sep 28 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.8K |
| Sep 14 | SELL KT Rolster Challengers @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?