Strident-Gerbil
Skill vs luck
Strident-Gerbil on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit −$26. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Strident-Gerbil: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x55d94368a50750f264cf42096e9034315d9c832c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Strident-Gerbil: −$26 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$1.3K
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$1.4K
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$540
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$3.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY G2 Esports @ 33¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $3.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 86¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | $3.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Aurora
@ 37¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports @ 46¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.3K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Fnatic
@ 42¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?