Crafty-Continent-Interview
0x552d04a7105808a39698f986d636f05d8ccc7d49
Crafty-Continent-Interview: −$8.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$8.9K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
2
$8.9K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$5.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 13¢
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? |
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | $1.1K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 14¢
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? |
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | $2.9K |
| Aug 25 | BUY No
@ 67¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $5.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.