Selfish-Prosperity-Expose
Skill vs luck
Selfish-Prosperity-Expose on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$257. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Selfish-Prosperity-Expose: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x54acf3d5c744b7603bafe0c5a96771741c0fe45b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Selfish-Prosperity-Expose: −$257 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- −$257
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | SELL Ashlyn Krueger @ 93¢ | Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger ↗ | $3.4K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?