Venerated-Seashore
Skill vs luck
Venerated-Seashore on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 29% (95% range 8%–64%) · profit −$1.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Venerated-Seashore: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x52e9c00368a73a97816fe24ec8bff17096acc2c1. Data CC BY 4.0.
Venerated-Seashore: −$1.5K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$1.3K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 52¢ | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-09? | $1.2K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
@ 82¢
Cassis: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui |
Cassis: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui | $4.6K |
| Sep 10 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 72¢
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees |
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees | $4.5K |
| Sep 10 | SELL Elsa Jacquemot
@ 99.9¢
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova |
Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova | $3.5K |
| Sep 10 | SELL Without a Roof
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Without a Roof - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Without a Roof - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 10 | BUY 3DMAX
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs BBL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group C |
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs BBL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group C | $1.4K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?