Impressionable-Chow-Twig
Skill vs luck
Impressionable-Chow-Twig on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Impressionable-Chow-Twig: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4fec83fd63a428b17e530bc747f05ecb9e02408f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Impressionable-Chow-Twig: −$1.2K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY 9z @ 47¢ | Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?