Forceful-Cockroach
Skill vs luck
Forceful-Cockroach on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 40% (95% range 12%–77%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Forceful-Cockroach: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4f8c04bf164c3ff8b6965a6477c9e39dbd9c0e0c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Forceful-Cockroach: −$1.8K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- −$3.4K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY T1 @ 88¢ | LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.2K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $5.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? |
Will FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | $2.3K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY HANJIN BRION @ 48¢ | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $3.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?